Ancona 1905 2-2 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.5
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
0.80/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.13
-27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ancona 1905
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carrarese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
14.05.2023 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
01.04.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 3-3 HT 2-2 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
29.11.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 2-0 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
19.03.2022 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 2-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
13.11.2021 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ancona 1905
2-2
AWAY Carrarese
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ancona 1905 vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ancona 1905 and Carrarese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ancona 1905 had 59% of the ball to Carrarese's 41%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ancona 1905 and 1.17 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Ancona 1905 vs Carrarese?

Ancona 1905 2-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ancona 1905 vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ancona 1905 32%, draw 30%, Carrarese 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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