Sassari Torres 1-0 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.04/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.95
-15% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Perugia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.10.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-0
AWAY Perugia
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres nicked a narrow win over Perugia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 49% of the ball to Perugia's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Perugia?

Sassari Torres 1-0 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 43%, draw 26%, Perugia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5
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