Lumezzane 3-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
24.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.97/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.03
-10% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Triestina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
3-0
AWAY Triestina
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane swept aside Triestina 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 44% of the ball to Triestina's 56%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Lumezzane 3-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 31%, draw 27%, Triestina 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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