Fermana 1-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Feb 2024

Fermana
1-1 HT 1-0
SPAL
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Fermana vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.15
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fermana v SPAL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fermana EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.95/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/1.00
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0

Fermana vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fermana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SPAL
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.10.2023 SPAL SPAL 0-0 HT 0-0 Fermana Fermana İTC

Fermana 1-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fermana
1-1
AWAY SPAL
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fermana vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fermana and SPAL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SPAL at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Fermana had 50% of the ball to SPAL's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Fermana vs SPAL?

Fermana 1-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fermana vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated an SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fermana 26%, draw 27%, SPAL 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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