Lumezzane 0-2 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.39
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.06
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.10.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
30.05.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
23.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.03.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
24.10.2014 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 1-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-2
AWAY Pro Patria
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria got the better of Lumezzane 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lumezzane at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 52% of the ball to Pro Patria's 48%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lumezzane and 0.67 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pro Patria?

Lumezzane 0-2 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 42%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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