Pro Vercelli 1-3 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.90
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Legnago Salus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
20.03.2022 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
14.11.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-3
AWAY Legnago Salus
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus beat Pro Vercelli 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Legnago Salus made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 48% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 52%, shots finished 20-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pro Vercelli and 0.67 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Legnago Salus?

Pro Vercelli 1-3 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 38%, draw 30%, Legnago Salus 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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