Pergolettese 0-4 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 59%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.16
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Mantova Mantova 4-1 HT 2-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
26.02.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
23.10.2022 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
10.04.2022 Mantova Mantova 0-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
04.12.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-4
AWAY Mantova
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova swept aside Pergolettese 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mantova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pergolettese had 29% of the ball to Mantova's 71%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pergolettese and 1.40 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Mantova?

Pergolettese 0-4 Mantova in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 22%, draw 26%, Mantova 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mantova), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mantova) ✓ BTTS No
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