Trento AC 2-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.49
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.69/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.03
-49% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 4-0 HT 3-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
19.03.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
19.11.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.03.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
07.11.2021 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
2-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC nicked a narrow win over Virtus Verona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trento AC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 57% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Trento AC and 1.60 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Virtus Verona?

Trento AC 2-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 41%, draw 27%, Virtus Verona 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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