Perugia 2-0 Ancona 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Mar 2024

Perugia
2-0 HT 2-0
Ancona 1905
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Perugia vs Ancona 1905 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perugia v Ancona 1905 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.52/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.24
-4% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Perugia vs Ancona 1905 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ancona 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 2-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Ancona 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia saw off Ancona 1905 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Ancona 1905?

Perugia 2-0 Ancona 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Ancona 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Perugia 51%, draw 26%, Ancona 1905 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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