Caldiero Terme 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.59/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.22
+31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldiero Terme
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2024 Lecco Lecco 5-1 HT 1-1 Caldiero Terme İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
1-0
AWAY Lecco
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme squeezed past Lecco 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Caldiero Terme made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 46% of the ball to Lecco's 54%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Lecco?

Caldiero Terme 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 39%, draw 28%, Lecco 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldiero Terme), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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