Trento AC 1-3 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +11%
1.08/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.21
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Novara
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
17.09.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
22.04.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 2-1 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
17.12.2022 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-3
AWAY Novara
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara beat Trento AC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Novara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trento AC had 70% of the ball to Novara's 30%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Trento AC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Trento AC and 0.75 for Novara.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Novara?

Trento AC 1-3 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 38%, draw 29%, Novara 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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