Audace Cerignola 1-1 Team Altamura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.67/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.00
-4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-1
AWAY Team Altamura
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola and Team Altamura couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 61% of the ball to Team Altamura's 39%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura?

Audace Cerignola 1-1 Team Altamura in the Italy - Serie C on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Team Altamura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 49%, draw 29%, Team Altamura 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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