Ascoli 4-1 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 18%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
0.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.57
-53% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
4-1
AWAY Sestri Levante
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli ran out comfortable winners over Sestri Levante 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 52% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 48%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Sestri Levante?

Ascoli 4-1 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 52%, draw 26%, Sestri Levante 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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