Avustralya U23 1-2 Güney Kore U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.5
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.3pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.31/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.37
-100% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
11.0 Crosses 15.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya U23
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Güney Kore U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.59 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
402 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2025 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 HU23
26.03.2024 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 2-2 HT 1-1 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 BASU23
22.01.2020 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 AFCU23
17.01.2018 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 3-2 HT 2-0 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya U23
1-2
AWAY Güney Kore U23
0.66 xG 0.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
337 Passes 427
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore U23 nicked a narrow win over Avustralya U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Güney Kore U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avustralya U23 had 45% of the ball to Güney Kore U23's 55%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Güney Kore U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avustralya U23 and 1.75 for Güney Kore U23.

What was the final score of Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Avustralya U23 1-2 Güney Kore U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avustralya U23 28%, draw 28%, Güney Kore U23 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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