Twente (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 17 Jan 2026

Twente (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Ajax (K)
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Twente (K) vs Ajax (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.7pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente (K) v Ajax (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.73/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.99
+115% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.5 Crosses 17.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Twente (K) vs Ajax (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajax (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
202 Passes 366
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Twente (K) Twente (K) 5-1 HT 4-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
09.11.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
03.03.2024 Twente (K) Twente (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1

Twente (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
1-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 328
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) and Ajax (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Twente (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Twente (K) had 44% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 56%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Twente (K) and 2.00 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Twente (K) 1-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 50%, draw 24%, Ajax (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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