17/01/2026
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Duhok vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
32%
Draw
32%
32%
Away Win
27%
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
51%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Duhok v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
0.65/0.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.90/1.03
-45%
/
+17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-20%
/
+9%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
313 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Duhok vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok edged past Diala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Duhok found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Duhok vs Diala?
Duhok 1-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Duhok vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Duhok 36%, draw 32%, Diala 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Duhok)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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17 Jan 2026