Duhok 1-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

Duhok
1-0 HT 0-0
Diala
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.03
-45% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok edged past Diala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Duhok found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Diala?

Duhok 1-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Duhok 36%, draw 32%, Diala 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Duhok) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
17 Jan 2026
15:00 Al Zawraa vs Erbil Analysis →
17:30 Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Shorta Analysis →