Al Zawraa 1-0 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.23
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.03.2025 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 4-0 HT 1-0 Erbil Erbil IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa edged past Erbil 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Erbil?

Al Zawraa 1-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 45%, draw 24%, Erbil 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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