Elgin City 2-2 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Elgin City
2-2 HT 2-1
Stenhousemuir
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.35/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.12
+20% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
24.10.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
11.04.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
28.01.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
03.12.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
17.09.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-3 HT 1-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Stenhousemuir couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stenhousemuir at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 1.67 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir?

Elgin City 2-2 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 28%, draw 29%, Stenhousemuir 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ BTTS Yes
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