Forfar Athletic 3-3 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Forfar Athletic
3-3 HT 3-0
Peterhead
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Peterhead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.02/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.34
-25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterhead
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 1-2 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
07.10.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-3 HT 0-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
01.05.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İSK1
06.04.2021 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
28.11.2020 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
25.02.2020 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic and Peterhead couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Forfar Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.17 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?

Forfar Athletic 3-3 Peterhead in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 42%, draw 23%, Peterhead 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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