Carlisle United 0-4 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Carlisle United
0-4 HT 0-1
Cambridge United
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Carlisle United vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
14%
5.14
X/X
13%
3.8
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.84
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.13
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
24.3 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Carlisle United vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cambridge United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
205 Passes 203
59% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1
27.03.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-2 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
12.09.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-0 HT 2-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
29.02.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
23.11.2019 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
23.03.2019 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-2 HT 2-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2

Carlisle United 0-4 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
0-4
AWAY Cambridge United
0.82 xG 1.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
430 Passes 199
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United cruised past Carlisle United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cambridge United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Carlisle United had 63% of the ball to Cambridge United's 37%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.82 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Cambridge United?

Carlisle United 0-4 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 34%, draw 30%, Cambridge United 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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