Fleetwood Town 1-2 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.14
1/2
6%
21.6
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
11%
7.6
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
2.51
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.35/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.01
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
197 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 71%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.4 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barnsley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 Passes 338
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-2 HT 1-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.12.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
01.10.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
13.04.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 4-2 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
29.09.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
19.03.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-2
AWAY Barnsley
0.85 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
230 Passes 192
63% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley edged past Fleetwood Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 53% of the ball to Barnsley's 47%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.85 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 2.33 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

Fleetwood Town 1-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 27%, Barnsley 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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