Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
17.35
X/1
18%
3.49
X/2
10%
11.55
X/X
14%
4.99
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
9.96
2/X
6%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
2.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
+65% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 61%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.5 Crosses 13.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Burton Albion
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.45 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-2
AWAY Burton Albion
1.74 xG 0.53
75% Ball Possession 25%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
570 Passes 123
88% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion edged past Leyton Orient 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 75% of the ball to Burton Albion's 25%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.74 to 0.53 — on chances, Leyton Orient could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion?

Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 48%, draw 29%, Burton Albion 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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