Northampton Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Northampton Town
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
1-2
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İNTK
Northampton Town 3-1 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Northampton Town beat Bristol Rovers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Northampton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Northampton Town had 44% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 56%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.60 to 1.16 — on chances, Bristol Rovers could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Northampton Town and 1.67 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Northampton Town 3-1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 38%, draw 23%, Bristol Rovers 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.