Arandina 2-3 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arandina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 32%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.83/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.21
-30% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arandina
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 HT 1-1 Arandina Arandina İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arandina
2-3
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arandina vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Torrelavega edged past Arandina 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Gimnastica Torrelavega made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arandina had 53% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 47%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Arandina vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Arandina 2-3 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arandina vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arandina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arandina 38%, draw 27%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arandina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Feb 2024
19:00 Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril Analysis →
19:00 Marino De Luanco vs Real Valladolid II Analysis →
19:00 Ciudad Real vs Mar Menor CF Analysis →