Compostela 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.50/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.23
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
0W-1D-0L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 0-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela squeezed past RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Compostela 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Compostela 52%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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