Padova Calcio 1-0 Pro Sesto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.1pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.58
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Sesto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
15.03.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
12.11.2022 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
27.02.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 2-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
20.10.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-2 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Pro Sesto
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Pro Sesto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Pro Sesto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 53% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.20 for Pro Sesto.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Pro Sesto?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Pro Sesto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 61%, draw 21%, Pro Sesto 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
17 Feb 2024
18:15 Virtus Verona vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
18:15 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara Analysis →
18:15 Renate vs Vicenza Analysis →
20:30 Pro Vercelli vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
20:30 Mantova vs Pro Patria Analysis →