17/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
20%
Draw
20%
24%
Away Win
16%
45%
Under 2.5
36%
55%
Over 2.5
64%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BW Lohne v Spelle-Venhaus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
BW Lohne
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% /
+26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.33/1.65
-53%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-69%
/
+25%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
459 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
337 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
BW Lohne
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Spelle-Venhaus
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
2
Corners
5
The Meetings
27.08.2023
Spelle-Venhaus
0-1
HT 0-0
BW Lohne
ALMBÖL
BW Lohne
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
BW Lohne saw off Spelle-Venhaus 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had BW Lohne as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
BW Lohne 3-1 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Before kick-off our model rated a BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 56%, draw 20%, Spelle-Venhaus 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BW Lohne), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (BW Lohne)
✓ Over 2.5
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
17 Feb 2024