Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.18/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.35
+57% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
326 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
4W-1D-1L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
19.02.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-2 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
10.04.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
15.10.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-0 HT 1-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
02.09.2020 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
2-3
AWAY BFC Dynamo
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo squeezed past Carl Zeiss Jena 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; BFC Dynamo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena had 52% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 48%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.67 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo?

Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 30%, draw 30%, BFC Dynamo 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Dynamo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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