FSV Zwickau 5-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Feb 2024

FSV Zwickau
5-0 HT 2-0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FSV Zwickau v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.09/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.39
+50% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
7 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
04.02.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
04.08.2017 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
04.03.2017 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
11.09.2016 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-2 HT 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau swept aside Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; FSV Zwickau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for FSV Zwickau and 1.60 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

FSV Zwickau 5-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Zwickau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 40%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FSV Zwickau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FSV Zwickau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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