RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.35
No
48%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
70%
-18.1pp
48%
BTTS No
30%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+39% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 9
27.08.2023 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 5-1 HT 3-0 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig U19
1-1
AWAY Union Berlin U19
1.71 xG 0.84
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
466 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 and Union Berlin U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig U19 had 68% of the ball to Union Berlin U19's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.71 to 0.84.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig U19 45%, draw 23%, Union Berlin U19 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALU19 More Germany - U19 Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024
13:00 Borussia Mgladbach U19 vs Köln U19 Analysis →
13:00 Osnabrück U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 Analysis →
13:00 Leverkusen U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 Analysis →
13:00 1860 München U19 vs Hoffenheim U19 Analysis →
13:00 Karlsruher SC U19 vs Bayern München U19 Analysis →
13:00 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 vs Ingolstadt U19 Analysis →