Amstetten 1-3 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 34% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.36
1/2
5%
22.9
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
7%
9.45
X/2
19%
3.86
X/X
14%
5.18
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.14
2/X
9%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 60%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.90/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.74
-25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-0 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
28.10.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 2-2 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
13.05.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 3-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
05.11.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
05.04.2021 Amstetten Amstetten 1-4 HT 0-2 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
23.10.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
1-3
AWAY Grazer AK
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK got the better of Amstetten 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grazer AK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amstetten had 55% of the ball to Grazer AK's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Amstetten and 1.83 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Grazer AK?

Amstetten 1-3 Grazer AK in the Austria - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 21%, draw 30%, Grazer AK 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grazer AK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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