First Vienna 1-2 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.0
2-3 Goals
50%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.8
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2 EV+ ✓
17%
6.84
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.2
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · X/2 at 6.84 — our 17% vs market 10.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.60/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.47
+26% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.0 Crosses 12.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 2
28.07.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-0 HT 2-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
1-2
AWAY Bregenz
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz edged past First Vienna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Bregenz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, First Vienna had 68% of the ball to Bregenz's 32%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Bregenz?

First Vienna 1-2 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 36%, draw 26%, Bregenz 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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