Blacktown City Demons 6-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.97/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.28
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blacktown City Demons
3W-0D-3L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 308
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 1-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
16.04.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-4 HT 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-0 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNSW
12.06.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 0-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
26.03.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
16.05.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Blacktown City Demons vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons cruised past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-3. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blacktown City Demons as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Blacktown City Demons and 1.17 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Blacktown City Demons vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Blacktown City Demons 6-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blacktown City Demons vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Blacktown City Demons 43%, draw 23%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 34%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blacktown City Demons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
17 Feb 2024
07:00 Manningham United Blues vs Dandenong Thunder Analysis →
07:00 Moreland City vs South Melbourne Analysis →
09:00 Sydney Olympic vs Hills Brumbies Analysis →
09:00 Central Coast II vs Sydney United Analysis →
11:00 Western Sydney W. II vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
11:00 Marconi Stallions vs Wollongong Wolves Analysis →