Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 17 Feb 2024

Newcastle Jets (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.08
+127% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
18.0 Crosses 23.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 2.13
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 8
218 Passes 358
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.99 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
222 Passes 303
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) swept aside Brisbane Roar (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 47% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 53%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.99 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.33 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 32%, draw 30%, Brisbane Roar (K) 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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