Sebail FK 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

Sebail FK
2-2 HT 1-2
Araz Nahçıvan
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Araz Nahçıvan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.90/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
-32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
24.09.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sebail FK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sebail FK and 0.50 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sebail FK 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 43%, draw 27%, Araz Nahçıvan 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 Feb 2024
15:00 Sabah vs Kapaz Analysis →