Jaro 3-0 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 29% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 22%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-0D-1L
AWAY SalPa Salo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 3-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
26.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
11.06.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-0 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
3-0
AWAY SalPa Salo
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro ran out comfortable winners over SalPa Salo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jaro had 44% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 56%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 1.33 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of Jaro vs SalPa Salo?

Jaro 3-0 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykköscup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jaro 52%, draw 26%, SalPa Salo 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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