Mikkeli 1-5 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
2W-0D-2L
AWAY KTP Kotka
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
01.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
20.10.2020 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
25.07.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-3 HT 1-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka cruised past Mikkeli 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; KTP Kotka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Mikkeli and 2.25 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Mikkeli 1-5 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykköscup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 34%, draw 28%, KTP Kotka 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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