Lille 3-0 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
23%
3.39
X/2
8%
12.35
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
6%
11.0
2/X
7%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.95
-6% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +43%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.7 Crosses 11.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Le Havre
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
611 Passes 327
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
01.10.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
26.07.2023 Lille Lille 3-2 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
23.05.2009 Le Havre Le Havre 0-1 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
20.12.2008 Lille Lille 3-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.12.2002 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
10.08.2002 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
3-0
AWAY Le Havre
3.78 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
479 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 8
4 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lille vs Le Havre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille cruised past Le Havre 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Lille had 62% of the ball to Le Havre's 38%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 3.78 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lille and 0.50 for Le Havre.

What was the final score of Lille vs Le Havre?

Lille 3-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Le Havre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lille 55%, draw 26%, Le Havre 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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