Nantes 0-2 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Feb 2024

Nantes
0-2 HT 0-0
PSG
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Nantes vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.45
1/2
5%
22.05
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.55
X/1
6%
12.0
X/2
21%
3.62
X/X
12%
5.82
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
26%
1.85
2/X
6%
16.8
Value flag · 1/X at 17.55 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.04/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.28
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
15.6 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nantes vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSG
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.98 xG 2.53
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 647
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
04.03.2023 PSG PSG 4-2 HT 2-2 Nantes Nantes FR1
03.09.2022 Nantes Nantes 0-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
31.07.2022 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Nantes Nantes FRSK
19.02.2022 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 3-0 PSG PSG FR1
20.11.2021 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1

Nantes 0-2 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
0-2
AWAY PSG
1.35 xG 1.55
23% Ball Possession 77%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
185 Passes 808
73% Pass Accuracy 93%
29 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nantes vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG saw off Nantes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nantes had 23% of the ball to PSG's 77%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nantes and 2.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of Nantes vs PSG?

Nantes 0-2 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nantes 22%, draw 26%, PSG 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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