Toulon 1-2 Thonon Evian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 2, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
42%
4-5
14%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulon The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Thonon Evian The Market 27%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
0.97/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Toulon vs Thonon Evian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thonon Evian squeezed past Toulon 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Toulon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Toulon vs Thonon Evian?

Toulon 1-2 Thonon Evian in the France - National League 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulon vs Thonon Evian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Toulon 43%, draw 34%, Thonon Evian 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Toulon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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