Buckley Town 1-4 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.1pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.2pp
63%
Away Win
80%
-17.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Buckley Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Buckley Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Buckley Town vs Connahs Quay?

Buckley Town 1-4 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buckley Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Buckley Town 21%, draw 17%, Connahs Quay 63%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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