Mixco 3-1 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.69/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.93
+3% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 150 · 52%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12 Corners 3
22.01.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
03.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
3-1
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco beat Zacapa Tellioz 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mixco had 52% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 48%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mixco and 0.50 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Mixco 3-1 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mixco 51%, draw 27%, Zacapa Tellioz 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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