Rijeka 4-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.61/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.54
+9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
24.1 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
20.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.02.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.10.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.08.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
4-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.31 xG 0.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 313
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rijeka had 44% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 56%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.31 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Rijeka 4-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 51%, draw 24%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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