Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
54%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
9%
+12.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
54%
Away Win
74%
-20.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 79%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.97/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.77
+11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.1 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.76 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 446
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.11.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
20.08.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-2 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
14.05.2019 Rudes Rudes 1-4 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
16.03.2019 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
01.12.2018 Rudes Rudes 1-4 HT 0-2 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
15.09.2018 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
0-2
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.46 xG 2.13
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
204 Passes 391
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split saw off Rudes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rudes had 39% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 61%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.46 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rudes and 2.83 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Hajduk Split?

Rudes 0-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rudes 21%, draw 25%, Hajduk Split 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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