Kozakken Boys 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.11
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
29%
-10.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-36% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozakken Boys
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 158
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
11 Box Touches 3
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
17.03.2018 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozakken Boys
2-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozakken Boys squeezed past Excelsior Maassluis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kozakken Boys as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kozakken Boys had 41% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 59%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kozakken Boys had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kozakken Boys and 0.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Kozakken Boys 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozakken Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kozakken Boys 48%, draw 18%, Excelsior Maassluis 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kozakken Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kozakken Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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