17/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
46%
32%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
30%
51%
Under 2.5
44%
49%
Over 2.5
56%
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
39%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Spakenburg v Katwijk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SV Spakenburg
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Katwijk
EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-48% /
-48%
3.50/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
+146%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-34%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
341 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
SV Spakenburg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Katwijk
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
1.58
xG
2.45
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
7
475
Passes
381
76%
Pass Accuracy
71%
41
Box Touches
36
47
Crosses
30
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
08.02.2023
SV Spakenburg
1-1
HT 1-0
Katwijk
HOK
1-1
HT 1-0
Katwijk
HOK
POST-MATCH
SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SV Spakenburg and Katwijk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?
SV Spakenburg 2-2 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Katwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 31%, draw 32%, Katwijk 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Katwijk)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
17 Feb 2024