Millonarios 0-1 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.24/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.09
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.6 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 2-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.08.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.02.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
04.10.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.03.2021 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
0-1
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.44 xG 0.54
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
481 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 67% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 33%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.44 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millonarios and 0.67 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas?

Millonarios 0-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 43%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millonarios) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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