Mazatlan vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mazatlan v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Mazatlan vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Mazatlan
MEK
4-1
HT 2-1
Mazatlan
MEK
2-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
3-0
HT 3-0
Mazatlan
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Mazatlan and Guadalajara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mazatlan had 56% of the ball to Guadalajara's 44%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.15 to 1.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mazatlan and 1.83 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Guadalajara?
Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 38%, draw 27%, Guadalajara 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.