Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Feb 2024

Queretaro
1-1 HT 1-0
Necaxa
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Queretaro vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.49/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.15
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.0 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Queretaro vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Necaxa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa HAZ
28.08.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
25.02.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.07.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
12.03.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 1-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
13.09.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK

Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-1
AWAY Necaxa
0.30 xG 1.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
172 Passes 348
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro and Necaxa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Queretaro had 38% of the ball to Necaxa's 62%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.30 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queretaro and 0.83 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 36%, draw 28%, Necaxa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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