Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
14%
3.93
X/2
12%
8.07
X/X
12%
4.12
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.81
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.13/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
-47% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.1 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
04.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
06.10.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.12.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
25.07.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-3 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.05.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.63 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
414 Passes 207
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa beat Piast Gliwice 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 62% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 38%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.63 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 47%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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